Is Granger causality analysis appropriate to investigate the relationship between atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide and global surface air temperature?

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Abstract

Many time series based studies use Granger causality analysis in order to investigate the connection between atmospheric carbon-dioxide concentrations and global mean temperature. This note re-examines the causal relationship between these variables and shows the inappropriateness of the Granger test to the problem under investigation. © Springer-Verlag/Wien 2005.

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Triacca, U. (2005). Is Granger causality analysis appropriate to investigate the relationship between atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide and global surface air temperature? Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 81(3–4), 133–135. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-004-0112-1

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