Papers in this group
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Many decisions concerning long-lived investments already need to take into account climate change. But doing so is not easy for at least two reasons. First, due to the rate of climate change, new infrastructure will have to be able to cope with a…
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The economic importance of the Indonesian coast is significant as a large tidal swampland near the coastal areas has been reclaimed for agricultural purposes. Twenty-five years of swamp reclamation has succeeded in 89,036 ha of swampland in the…
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A new version of the Community Climate System Model (CCSM) has been developed and released to the climate community. CCSM3 is a coupled cli- mate model with components representing the atmosphere, ocean, sea ice, and land surface connected by a flux…
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The International Council for Science (ICSU) proposes to mobilize the international global change scientific community around an unprecedented decade of research to support sustainable development in the context of global change. In doing so it…
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We use a physically plausible four parameter linear response equation to relate 2,000 years of global temperatures and sea level. We estimate likelihood distributions of equation parameters using Monte Carlo inversion, which then allows…
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We propose a simple relationship linking global sea-level variations on time scales of decades to centuries to global mean temperature. This relationship is tested on synthetic data from a global climate model for the past millennium and the next…
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Climate change adaptation is not only the need for the future but also of the present, as we are already experiencing impacts of climate change. Information on climate change and available adaptation options are essential for making decisions on…
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Ensuring food security—especially in Africa—depends on breaking cycles of hunger and conflict. Whether one believes that (a) environmental scarcities (including food insecurity) can cause conflict, or (b) that conflict is primarily caused by…
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The observed increase in the concentration of greenhouse gases (GHGs) since the preindustrial era has most likely committed the world to a warming of 2.4 degrees C (1.4 degrees C to 4.3 degrees C) above the preindustrial surface temperatures. The…
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The exploitation of fossil fuels is integral to modern living and has been a key element of the rapid technological, social, and cultural changes of the past 250 years. Although such changes have brought undeniable benefi ts, this exploitation has…
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In both developed and developing countries around the world, the health of significant numbers of people is adversely affected by a lack of adequate housing. Large-scale migrations into already crowded developing nation cities compound existing…
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This paper describes a simulation study of some of the socio-economic consequences of a rise in sea level on Dutch society. A computer simulation model for the greenhouse problem has been developed, which tries to capture the climate change…
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