Dualization and Electoral Realignment

Abstract

The growing research on post-industrial labor market inequality bears a strong-yet widely misunderstood-relevance for the literature on electoral realignment. In this contribution, I contend that the assumption of labor market outsiders being equal to globalization/modernization losers is largely mistaken. Rather, atypical work and unemployment is most widespread among service workers, whose primary electoral choice is to abstain from voting. This implies that the ongoing reconfiguration of European party systems-through the rise of right-wing populist parties-is driven by skilled and routine workers in the manufacturing sector (the traditional insiders). Hence, the rise of right-wing populist parties reflects a political mobilization of the formerly well-protected industrial working class, rather than of labor market outsiders.