PROBABILITIES IN EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION - 2.

Abstract

The article looks at different equations, each of which relates four of the six probabilities defined for an earthquake prediction system based on a single observational element. It is assumed that the occurrence of a precursorlike anomaly in the observational data increases the probability of the occurrence of an earthquake during a time interval which is called ″warning period″ . Some discussions are also made for the case in which anomalies are partially dependent.