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World System Evolution

by George Modelski
World System History The Social Science of LongTerm Change (2000)

Abstract

This paper argues that the current shifts (or crisis) in world system developmental trajectories can best be understood if they are placed in a long-term, evolutionary world-system developmental perspective. Rather than being a "regular" iteration in this cyclical, developmental pattern, however, the current transformations are reflective of the previous collapse and following re-emergence of a complex systemic structure. This argument is tested empirically using world system network data measuring linkages between major global nodes over a 500 year period.

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