Skip to content

Advantages and Disadvantages of Scenario Approaches for Strategic Foresight

by Dana Mietzner, Guido Reger
International Journal Technology Intelligence and Planning ()
Get full text at journal


Scenarios, as a prime technique of future studies, have long been used by government planners, corporate managers and military analysts as powerful tools to aid in decision making in the face of uncertainty. The idea behind them is to establish thinking about possible futures which can minimise surprises and broaden the span of managers’ thinking about different possibilities. Today the question of what scenarios are is unclear except with regard to one point - they have become extremely popular. This paper attempts to shed light on differences in scenario approaches. It will describe the origin of scenarios and the development of different understandings and purposes for managers. Categories are developed to compare the different ways scenarios are performed. Finally, the advantages and disadvantages of scenario approaches are analysed.

Cite this document (BETA)

Readership Statistics

203 Readers on Mendeley
by Discipline
35% Business, Management and Accounting
14% Social Sciences
10% Computer Science
by Academic Status
28% Student > Master
22% Student > Ph. D. Student
12% Student > Doctoral Student
by Country
2% United Kingdom
1% Sweden
1% United States

Sign up today - FREE

Mendeley saves you time finding and organizing research. Learn more

  • All your research in one place
  • Add and import papers easily
  • Access it anywhere, anytime

Start using Mendeley in seconds!

Sign up & Download

Already have an account? Sign in