Z score prediction model for assessment of bone mineral content in pediatric diseases

Abstract

The objective of this study was to develop an anthropometry-based prediction model for the assessment of bone mineral content (BMC) in children. Dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) was used to measure whole-body BMC in a heterogeneous cohort of 982 healthy children, aged 5-18 years, from three ethnic groups (407 European-American [EA], 285 black, and 290 Mexican-American [MA]). The best model was based on log transformations of BMC and height, adjusted for age, gender, and ethnicity. The mean ± SD for the measured/predicted In ratio was 1.000 ± 0.017 for the calibration population. The model was verified in a second independent group of 588 healthy children (measured/predicted In ratio = 1.000 ± 0.018). For clinical use, the ratio values were converted to a standardized Z score scale. The whole-body BMC status of 106 children with various diseases (42 cystic fibrosis [CF], 29 juvenile dermatomyositis [JDM], 15 liver disease [LD], 6 Rett syndrome [RS], and 14 human immunodeficiency virus [HIV]) was evaluated. Thirty-nine patients had Z scores less than -1.5, which suggest low bone mineral mass. Furthermore, 22 of these patients had severe abnormalities as indicated by Z scores less than -2.5. These preliminary findings indicate that the prediction model should prove useful in determining potential bone mineral deficits in individual pediatric patients.