Carotid intraplaque neovascularisation as a predictive factor for future vascular events in patients with mild and moderate carotid stenosis: an observational prospective study

Abstract

Background: Intraplaque neovascularisation (IPN) increases the vulnerability of plaques, which makes them more likely to rupture and increases the risk of vascular events. However, it is unclear whether IPN can predict future vascular events (stroke recurrence and cardiovascular events). Previous studies on IPN have focused on patients with severe stenosis but overlooked patients with mild and moderate stenosis. This study aimed to investigate whether IPN assessed by contrast-enhanced ultrasonography (CEUS) in patients with mild and moderate degrees of stenosis is associated with future vascular events. Methods: One hundred and twenty-one patients participated in this study. 76 patients who met the inclusion and exclusion criteria were included in the final dataset of the study. IPN was graded from 0 to 2 according to the extent of the microbubbles assessed using CEUS. The degree of carotid stenosis was graded as mild, moderate, or severe. We recorded future vascular events during the follow-up. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to evaluate risk factors for future vascular events. Results: After a follow-up period of 30 ± 6 months, 30 patients (39.5%) experienced subsequent vascular events. Compared with the ‘non-recurrent’ group, the ‘recurrent’ group showed a higher proportion of grade 2 neovascularisation (p < 0.05), and it was an independent predictor of subsequent vascular events (odds ratio 6.066, 95% confidence interval 1.565–23.512, p < 0.05). Furthermore, in patients with mild and moderate stenosis, future vascular events occurred in an unexpectedly high proportion (up to 42.9%). In the ‘recurrent’ group, 55% of patients with mild and moderate stenosis had grade 2 neovascularisation. Conclusion: IPN by CEUS was an independent predictor of future vascular events in patients with recent ischemic stroke, and the high proportion of neovascularisation in patients with mild and moderate stenosis requires more attention.