An integrated disease-specific graded prognostic assessment scale for melanoma: Contributions of KPS, CITV, number of metastases, and BRAF mutation status

Abstract

Background: Stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) remains a mainstay therapy in the treatment of melanoma brain metastases (BM). While prognostic scales have been developed for melanoma patients who underwent SRS treatment for BM, the pertinence of these scales in the context of molecularly targeted therapies remains unclear. Methods: Through a multi-institutional collaboration, we collated the survival patterns of 331 melanoma BM patients with known BRAF mutation status treated with SRS. We established a prognostic scale that was validated in an independent cohort of 174 patients. All patients with BRAF mutations in this series were treated with BRAF inhibitors. Prognostic utility was assessed using Net Reclassification Index (NRI > 0) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) metrics. Results: In a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model, BRAF mutation status, KPS, number of metastases, and cumulative intracranial tumor volume (CITV) independently contributed to survival prognostication for melanoma patients with SRS-treated BM (P