Simulation Method for Scheduling Linear Construction Projects Using the Learning-Forgetting Effect

Abstract

Linear projects such as highways, multi-storey buildings or pipelines are implemented by repeating the sequences of processes on units. Repetitive operations affect acquiring more and more experience, which shortens the duration of subsequent activities. On the other hand, the possible breaks in work make this effect disappear. Breaks at work are most often caused by the lack of crew work continuity. While delaying the subsequent sequences of processes properly, it is possible to reduce interruptions and limit the forgetting effect. A simulation method for scheduling linear construction projects has been developed, taking into account the learning and forgetting effect. It allows to increase the probability of the crew work continuity while meeting the project deadline with a specific probability. As a result, the estimation of the project duration is more accurate, which may provide an advantage at the stage of submitting offers in tenders for construction works.