Association Between ECG Abnormalities and Mortality in a Low-Risk Population

Abstract

BACKGROUND: The ECG is a simple, noninvasive screening method for cardiovascular disease and arrhythmia. The impact of ECG abnormality on mortality is not certain in low-risk populations. To address this, we evaluated the association between ECG abnormality and mortality. METHODS AND RESULTS: We retrospectively assessed baseline ECG and all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality in 660 383 patients presenting for medical check-ups. Baseline ECG abnormalities were classified according to the Minnesota Code. Among the total 660 383 participants, 23 609 (3.6%) had major and 110 038 (16.7%) had minor ECG abnormalities. All-cause mortality occurred in 7751 patients (1.1%) and cardiovascular mortality in 1180 (0.18%) over a median follow-up period of 8.8 years. Major ECG abnormalities were associated with all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.11 [95%, 1.03–1.2]) and cardiovascular mortality (HR, 1.92 [95% CI, 1.63–2.27]) compared with no ECG abnormalities. All-cause mortality was associated with right atrial enlargement (HR, 2.11 [95% CI, 1.1–4.07]), left atrial enlargement (HR, 1.76 [95% CI, 1.1–2.84]), sinus tachycardia (HR, 1.52 [95% CI, 1.15–2.01]), complete atrioventricular block (HR, 2.1 [95% CI, 1.05–4.2]), atrial fibrillation (HR, 1.52 [95% CI, 1.26–1.84]), and left ventricular hypertrophy (HR, 1.15 [95% CI, 1.02–1.3]). Cardiovascular mortality was associated with left atrial enlargement (HR, 4.52 [95% CI, 2.15–9.5]), atrial fibrillation (HR, 3.22 [95% CI, 2.33–4.46]), left ventricular hypertrophy (HR, 1.72 [95% CI, 1.35–2.19]), major Q-wave abnormality (HR, 1.6 [95% CI, 1.08–2.39]), and major ST-T abnormality (HR, 1.76 [95% CI, 1.01–3.04]). CONCLUSIONS: ECG abnormalities, including left atrial enlargement, left ventricular hypertrophy, atrial fibrillation, and major Q-wave and ST-T abnormalities, were associated with cardiovascular mortality in a low-risk population.