Statistical study on the regional characteristics of seismic activity in and around Japan: frequency-magnitude distribution and tidal correlation

Abstract

We propose a statistical analysis method to identify common features of seismic activity that are indistinguishable from most other seismicity, and to find anomalous activity that differs from these common features. Using the hypocenter catalog of earthquakes which occurs in and around Japan during the past 20 years, we apply this method for the parameters of the frequency-magnitude distribution and a parameter that expresses the correlation of seismicity with tides as indices, with a focus on objectively understanding the regional characteristics of seismicity. As a result, we extracted a "typical" probability density distribution of each index value common to the most analysis regions and "anomalous" regions with index-value distributions that differ significantly from the typical distributions. In terms of the frequency-magnitude distribution, most estimated values of indices in the anomalous activity areas can be explained as variations corresponding to the effects of fluids, interplate coupling, and stress fields that control faulting styles that have been pointed out in previous studies. By extracting typical index values for the frequency-magnitude distribution, common features of the frequency-magnitude distribution that depend on the earthquake occurrence interval were identified. Although seismicity showed no clear correlation with tides, the index value for tidal correlation changes to reflect the proportion of earthquakes occurring in a series of periods shorter than the tidal period; it is therefore useful as an index to capture the characteristics of such earthquake occurrence intervals. We also show that the typical probability density distribution of these index values can be represented by existing models or their extensions. By using the proposed models as a reference, it is possible to quantify the degree of anomaly using the same concept as that of the method presented here; hence, such a method should be applicable to monitor seismic activity. Graphical Abstract: [Figure not available: see fulltext.].