Landslide Susceptibility Evaluation Using Different Slope Units Based on BP Neural Network

Abstract

Landslides are one of the most widespread natural hazards that cause damage to both property and life every year. Therefore, the landslide susceptibility evaluation is necessary for land hazard assessment and mitigation of landslide-related losses. Selecting an appropriate mapping unit is an essential step for landslide susceptibility evaluation. This study tested the back propagation (BP) neural network technique to develop a landslide susceptibility map in Qingchuan County, Sichuan Province, China. It compared the results of applying six different slope unit scales for landslide susceptibility maps obtained using hydrological analysis. We prepared a dataset comprising 973 historical landslide locations and six conditioning factors (elevation, slope degree, aspect, lithology, distance to fault lines, and distance to drainage network) to construct a geospatial database and divided the data into the training and testing datasets. We based on the BP learning algorithm to generate landslide susceptibility maps using the training dataset. We divided Qingchuan County into six different scales of slope unit: 4,401, 13,146, 39,251, 46,504, 56,570, and 69,013, then calculated the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and used the area under the curve (AUC) for the quantitative evaluation of 6 different slope unit scales of landslide susceptibility maps using the testing dataset. The verification results indicated that the evaluation generated by 56,570 slope units had the highest accuracy with a ROC curve of 0.9424. Overelaborate and rough division of slope units may not get the best evaluation results, and it is necessary to obtain the slope units most consistent with the actual situation through debugging. The results of this study will be useful for the development of landslide hazard mitigation strategies.