Probabilistic assessment of the risk of black rhinoceros (Diceros bicornis) species extinction

Abstract

The black rhinoceros (Diceros bicornis), distinguished by its distinctive horned snout and imposing size, stands perilously close to the precipice of extinction. The survival of this majestic species is threatened by a combination of factors, necessitating urgent scientific inquiry into the underlying causes. In this research article, a nonlinear stochastic Ricker model is employed to investigate the challenges faced by the population of black rhinoceros. By integrating innovative mathematical approaches with ecological understanding, the aim is to unravel the intricate dynamics contributing to the endangered status of the black rhino. The critical role of habitat loss and illicit poaching activities in driving the decline of this remarkable species is highlighted by the analysis. These findings emphasise the need for immediate and decisive action to protect the black rhinoceros and mitigate the risk of its extinction. It is imperative that comprehensive conservation efforts be implemented to ensure the long-term survival of the black rhinoceros and preserve its invaluable place within the ecosystem.