Recurrence patterns predict survival after resection of colorectal liver metastases

Abstract

Background: Effective treatment of colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) is challenging because recurrence occurs in many patients after curative-intent resection. This study evaluates the recurrence patterns after resection of CRLM and its association with survival. Methods: A retrospective review of prospectively collected data of patients with CRLM managed with curative-intent resection from January 2007 to December 2017 was performed. The main outcomes and measures were the timing of recurrence, initial sites of recurrence, overall survival and recurrence-free survival. Early recurrence was defined as the detection of any organ recurrence ≤6 months from resection of CRLM. Results: A cohort of 194 patients was included for analysis. After a median follow-up of 85.3 months, 145 patients (74.7%) were diagnosed with recurrence. The median overall survival was 67.6 months (95% CI 50.4–80.2) and the 5-year overall survival was 54.1%. After initial recurrence was detected, the median survival was 28.9 months (95% CI 23.6–37.8) months and the 5-year overall survival was 28.8%. Early recurrence occurred in 58 patients (29.9%). Initial recurrence patterns included: liver only in 53 patients (36.5%), multiple sites in 48 patients (33.1%), lung only in 30 patients (20.7%), and other single extrahepatic sites in 14 patients (9.6%). Early recurrence and initial multi-site recurrence were independent predictors of worse overall survival for patients who develop recurrence after resection of CLRM. Conclusion: The timing and initial sites of recurrence are prognostic factors in determining survival after curative-intent resection of CRLM.