Election result prediction using spatial statistical method

Abstract

Since 17th Century, Modern representative democracy in all forms is being made possible by having a formal way of collecting people’s overall opinion on who is to be chosen as their representative. Election is a most important event in any democratic country. Confronting on predicting the winning person/party in the election is the biggest challenge here. In this paper, a study of spatial statistics method to predict the election result using the exploratory data analysis is carried out by applying spatial statistical methods. The paper presents, prediction of the election result with respect to the income level of the citizen and also a comparison of results obtained from the different statistical methods.