Spacecraft Telemetry Anomaly Detection Based on Parametric Causality and Double-Criteria Drift Streaming Peaks over Threshold

Abstract

Most of the spacecraft telemetry anomaly detection methods based on statistical models suffer from the problems of high false negatives, long time consumption, and poor interpretability. Besides, complex interactions, which may determine the propagation of anomalous mode between telemetry parameters, are often ignored. To discover the complex interaction between spacecraft telemetry parameters and improve the efficiency and accuracy of anomaly detection, we propose an anomaly detection framework based on parametric causality and Double-Criteria Drift Streaming Peaks Over Threshold (DCDSPOT). We propose Normalized Effective Transfer Entropy (NETE) to reduce the error and noise caused by nonstationarity of the data in the calculation of transfer entropy, and then apply NETE to improve the Multivariate Effective Source Selection (MESS) causal inference algorithm to infer parametric causality. We define the Weighted Source Parameter (WSP) of the target parameter to be detected, then DSPOT is employed to set multi-tier thresholds for target parameter and WSP. At last, two criteria are formulated to determine anomalies. Additionally, to cut the time consumption of the DCDSPOT, we apply Probability Weighted Moments (PWM) for parameter estimation of Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD). Experiments on real satellite telemetry dataset shows that our method has higher recall and F1-score than other commonly used methods, and the running time is also significantly reduced.