The changing employment of physicians, NPs, and PAs

Abstract

Information on the employment of patient-care clinicians is needed for policy planning and human resource management. The 2021 Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) employment data were probed for occupational settings of 698,700 physicians and surgeons, 246,690 NPs, and 139,100 physician associates/assistants (PAs). These three healthcare professionals accounted for about 1.1 million medical and surgical clinicians serving a US population of 331.5 million. Clinician demographics differ - in 2021, the median age of physicians was 45 years; NPs, 43 years; and PAs, 39 years. The largest employment location is "office of a physician"(physician, 53%; NP, 47%; PA, 51%), followed by hospitals (physician, 25%; NP, 25%; PA, 23%), and outpatient centers (physician, 4%; NP, 9%; PA, 10%). The 10-year job outlook predicts physician growth at 3%, NPs at 46%, and PAs at 28%. NP and PA employment is growing more than that of physicians because of constrained physician postgraduate education funding. Other factors influencing employment changes include medical practice mergers, the rising value of team-based care, the cost of new medical schools, and task shifting.