Sonographic predictors of surgery in fetal coarctation of the aorta

Abstract

Objectives: Isolated fetal coarctation of the aorta (CoA) has high false-positive diagnostic rates by cardiologists in tertiary centers. Isthmal diameter Z-scores (I), ratio of isthmus to duct diameters (I:D), and visualization of CoA shelf (Shelf) and isthmal flow disturbance (Flow) distinguish hypoplastic from normal aortic arches in retrospective studies, but their ability to predict a need for perinatal surgery is unknown. The aim of this study was to determine whether these four sonographic features could differentiate prenatally cases which would require neonatal surgery in a prospective cohort diagnosed with CoA by a cardiologist. Methods: From 83 referrals with cardiac disproportion (January 2006 to August 2010), we identified 37 consecutive fetuses diagnosed with CoA. Measurements of I and I:D were made and the presence of Shelf or Flow recorded. Sensitivity, specificity and areas under receiver-operating characteristics curves, using previously reported limits of I < - 2 and I:D < 0.74, as well as Shelf and Flow were compared at first and final scan. Associations between surgery and predictors were compared using multivariable logistic regression and changes in measurements using ANCOVA. Results: Among the 37 fetuses, 30 (81.1%) required surgery and two with an initial diagnosis of CoA were revised to normal following isthmal growth, giving an 86% diagnostic accuracy at term. The median age at first scan was 22.4 (range. 16.6-7.0) weeks and the median number of scans per fetus was three (range, one to five). I < - 2 at final scan was the most powerful predictor (odds ratio, 3.6 (95% CI, 0.47-27.3)). Shelf was identified in 66% and Flow in 50% of fetuses with CoA. Conclusion: Incorporation of these four sonographic parameters in the assessment of fetuses with suspected CoA at a tertiary center resulted in better diagnostic precision regarding which cases would require neonatal surgery than has been reported previously. Copyright © 2012 ISUOG.