A Digital Twin Approach to Sustainable Disaster Management: Case of Cayirova

Abstract

Disaster management requires the development of effective technologies for managing both pre-and post-disaster processes. Therefore, utilizing effective tools and techniques to mitigate the disaster risks or lower the adversarial impacts is essential. Over the last decade, digital twin (DT) applications have found a wider implementation area for varying purposes, but most importantly, they are utilized for simulating disaster impacts. This study aims to develop an open-source digital twin (DT) framework for earthquake disaster management in the Cayirova district of Kocaeli, Türkiye, one of the country’s most seismically active regions. The primary objective is to enhance local resilience by integrating multi-source data into a unified digital environment that supports risk assessment, response planning, and recovery coordination. The digital model developed using QGIS (3.40.9 Bratislava), Autodesk InfraWorks 2025 software for DT modeling integrates various data types, including geospatial, environmental, transportation, utility, and demographic data. As a result, the developed model is expected to be used as a digital database for disaster management, storing both geospatial and building data in a unified structure. The developed model also aims to contribute to sustainable practices in cities, where disaster risks are particularly critical. In this respect, the developed model is expected to create sustainable logistics chains and sustainable targets aiming to reduce the number of people affected by disasters, reducing the direct economic losses caused by disasters. In this framework, the developed model is expected to further assess seismic risk and mitigate risks with DTs. These capabilities enable the project to establish an open-source district-level DT system implemented for the first time in Cayirova, provide an alternative disaster model focused on region-specific earthquakes, and integrate 2D/3D assets into an operational, ready-to-respond digital database. In terms of practical importance, the model provides a digital database (digital backup) that can be used in emergencies, helping decision-makers make faster, data-driven decisions. The significance of this study lies in bridging the gap between urban digitalization and disaster resilience by providing a scalable and transparent tool for local governments. Ultimately, the developed DT contributes to sustainable urban management, enhancing preparedness, adaptive capacity, and post-disaster recovery efficiency.