Comprehensive Evaluation of Marine Ship Fires Risk Based on Fuzzy Broad Learning System

Abstract

Ship fires exhibit the main characteristics of a high possibility of occurrence, large load, fast spreading, high difficulty in extinguishing, and serious losses. Therefore, once a fire occurs, it will cause huge loss in terms of economic and personnel safety. Firstly, a ship fire risk evaluation indicator system was constructed based on the causes and severity of the fires. Secondly, a comprehensive evaluation method for the fuzzy broad learning system (FBLS) was proposed. The fuzzy system was used to implement feature mapping on the input data, and the extracted fuzzy features were further input into the BLS enhancement layer. A fuzzy broad learning neural network structure was constructed by combining fuzzy features, feature nodes, and enhancement nodes. The method was applied to the field of risk assessment for the first time, and is a reference for subsequent studies. Finally, the risk levels of ship fires were classified and compared with evaluation methods such as fuzzy support vector machine (FSVM) and Fuzzy BP neural network (FBPNN) to demonstrate effectiveness and accuracy. The proposed FBLS method was used to predict actual cases, and the results showed consistency with the level determined by the accident investigation report published by the Maritime Bureau Administration.