Sources of Uncertainty in Timber Supply Projections

Abstract

Uncertainty surrounding timber supply projections can arise from many sources. This paper examines some of the sources connected with the modelling of timber supply and the environment within which timber supply projections are applied. No attempt is made to quantify or rank these sources. The intent is to stimulate awareness of the extent of uncertainty in timber supply projections and promote discussion that could lead to improved management of timber resources. Key word: Uncertainty, Timber Supply Modelling Timber Supply Projections.