Automated Quantification of Abnormal QRS Peaks From High-Resolution ECGs Predicts Late Ventricular Arrhythmias in Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy: A 5-Year Prospective Multicenter Study

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) are at risk of ventricular arrhythmia (VA) attributed to abnormal electrical activation arising from myocardial fibrosis and myocyte disarray. We sought to quantify intra-QRS peaks (QRSp) in high-resolution ECGs as a measure of abnormal activation to predict late VA in patients with HCM. METHODS AND RESULTS: Prospectively enrolled patients with HCM (n=143, age 53±14 years) with prophylactic implantable cardioverter-defibrillators had 3-minute, high-resolution (1024 Hz), digital 12-lead ECGs recorded during intrinsic rhythm. For each precordial lead, QRSp was defined as the total number of peaks detected in the QRS complex that deviated from a smoothing filtered version of the QRS. The VA end point was appropriate implantable cardioverter-defibrillator therapy during 5-year prospective follow-up. After 5 years, 21 (16%) patients had VA. Patients who were VA positive had greater QRSp (6.0 [4.0–7.0] versus 4.0 [2.0– 5.0]; P<0.01) and lower left ventricular ejection fraction (57±11 versus 62±9; P=0.038) compared with patients who were VA negative, but had similar established HCM risk metrics. Receiver operating characteristic analysis revealed that QRSp discriminated VA (area under the curve=0.76; P<0.001), with a QRSp ≥4 achieving 91% sensitivity and 39% specificity. The annual VA rate was greater in patients with QRSp ≥4 versus QRSp <4 (4.4% versus 0.98%; P=0.012). In multivariable Cox regression, age <50 years (hazard ratio [HR], 2.53; P=0.009) and QRSp (HR per QRS peak, 1.41; P=0.009) predicted VA after adjusting for established HCM risk metrics. In patients aged <50 years, the annual VA rate was 0.0% for QRSp <4 compared with 6.9% for QRSp ≥4 (P=0.012). CONCLUSIONS: QRSp predicted VA in patients with HCM who were eligible for an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator after adjusting for established HCM risk metrics, such that each additional QRS peak increases VA risk by 40%. QRSp <4 was associated with a <1% annual VA risk in all patients, and no VA risk among those aged <50 years. This novel ECG metric may improve patient selection for prophylactic implantable cardioverter-defibrillator therapy by identifying those with low VA risk. These findings require further validation in a lower risk HCM cohort. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT02560844.