Fault and fracture network characterization using soft computing techniques: application to geologically complex and deeply-buried geothermal reservoirs

Abstract

Geothermal energy is a sustainable energy source that meets the needs of the climate crisis and global warming caused by fossil fuel burning. Geothermal resources are found in complex geological settings, with faults and interconnected networks of fractures acting as pathways for fluid circulation. Identifying faults and fractures is an essential component of exploiting geothermal resources. However, accurately predicting fractures without high-resolution geophysical logs (e.g., image logs) and well-core samples is challenging. Soft computing techniques, such as machine learning, make it possible to map fracture networks at a finer resolution. This study employed four supervised machine learning techniques (multilayer perceptron (MLP), random forests (RF), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and support vector regression (SVR)) to identify fractures in geothermal carbonate reservoirs in the sub-basins of East China. The models were trained and tested on a diverse well-logging dataset collected at the field scale. A comparison of the predicted results revealed that XGBoost with optimized hyperparameters and data division achieved the best performance than RF, MLP, and SVR with RMSE = 0.02 and R2 = 0.92. The Q-learning algorithm outperformed grid search, Bayesian, and ant colony optimizations. The blind well test demonstrates that it is possible to accurately identify fractures by applying machine learning algorithms to standard well logs. In addition, the comparative analysis indicates that XGBoost was able to handle the complex relationship between input parameters (e.g., DTP > RD > DEN > GR > CAL > RS > U > CNL) and fracture in geologically complex geothermal carbonate reservoirs. Furthermore, comparing the XGBoost model with previous studies proved superior in training and testing. This study suggests that XGBoost with Q-learning-based optimized hyperparameters and data division is a suitable algorithm for identifying fractures using well-log data to explore complex geothermal systems in carbonate rocks. Graphical abstract: (Figure presented.)