Association of diabetes and admission blood glucose levels with short-term outcomes in patients with critical illnesses

Abstract

Background: Association of diabetes and admission glucose on the short-term prognosis in patients with critical illnesses are currently ambiguous. We aimed to determine whether diabetes and admission glucose affects short-term prognosis of critically ill patients. Methods: We performed a retrospective analysis of data on 46,476 critically ill patients from the critical care database. Association of diabetes with 28-day mortality was assessed by inverse probability weighting based on the propensity score. Smoothing splines and threshold effect analysis were applied to explore the relationship between admission glucose and clinical outcomes. Results: Of the 33,680 patients enrolled in the study, 8,701 (25.83%) had diabetes. In the main analysis, the 28-day mortality was reduced by 29% (hazard ratio (HR)=0.71, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.67–0.76) in patients with diabetes compared to those without diabetes. The E-value of 2.17 indicated robustness to unmeasured confounders. Significant interactions were observed for glucose at ICU admission, admission type, and insulin use (Interaction P <0.05). A V-shaped relationship was observed between admission glucose and 28-day mortality in non-diabetic patients, with the lowest 28-day mortality corresponding to a glucose level of 101.75 mg/dl (95% CI 94.64–105.80 mg/dl), and admission hypoglycemia or hyperglycemia should be avoided, especially in patients admitted to the surgical intensive care unit (SICU), cardiac surgery recovery unit (CSRU), and coronary care unit (CCU); for diabetic patients, elevated admission glucose does not appear to be associated with a poor prognosis and perhaps may be beneficial except for CCU and CSRU. Conclusion: The non-detrimental effect of diabetes on the short-term prognosis of critically ill patients was further confirmed, which would reduce 28-day mortality by approximately 29%. For non-diabetic patients, the admission glucose level corresponding to the lowest 28-day mortality was 101.75 mg/dl (95% CI 94.64–105.80 mg/dl); however, for diabetics, the appropriate admission glucose threshold remains unresolved.