Mathematical Model for Predicting the Ship Speed in the Actual Weather Conditions on the Planned Ocean Route

Abstract

While operating the ship, one of the most important tasks is forecasting the ocean route. The vessel’s speed characteristics are used to predict the route. Commonly used are very simplified algorithms for calculating those characteristics in which only a few basic ship parameters are used. The article presents a more detailed mathematical model for forecasting the speed of the ship in real weather conditions. This model requires more detailed geometric data of the ship and its propulsion (propeller and propulsion engine), but this data is available for operating ships.