AI for Predicting Pavement Roughness in Road Monitoring and Maintenance

Abstract

In recent decades, numerous studies have investigated the application of Artificial Intelligence (AI), and more precisely of Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs), in the prediction of complex technical parameters, particularly in the field of road infrastructure management. Among them, prediction of the widely used International Roughness Index (IRI) has attracted much attention due to its importance in pavement maintenance planning. This study focuses on predicting future IRI values using traditional regression models and neural networks, specifically Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, on two highway sections, each analyzed in two experimental setups. The models consider only traffic and structural road characteristics as variables. The results show that the LSTM method provides significantly lower prediction errors for both highway sections, indicating better performance in capturing roughness trends over time. These results confirm that ANNs are a useful tool for engineers by predicting future IRI values, as they help to extend pavement life and reduce overall maintenance costs. The integration of machine learning into pavement evaluation is a promising step forward in ongoing efforts to optimize pavement management.