Denosumab Dosage and Tooth Extraction Predict Medication-Related Osteonecrosis of the Jaw in Patients with Breast Cancer and Bone Metastases

Abstract

Background/Objectives: Prolonged use of denosumab in patients with metastatic breast cancer has raised concerns about the development of medication-related osteonecrosis of the jaw (MRONJ). However, the threshold at which the risk increases remains unclear. Methods: This retrospective cohort study analyzed patients with breast cancer and bone metastases who received denosumab between May 2012 and August 2024. Associations between cumulative denosumab administration and MRONJ were evaluated using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to determine the optimal cutoff for cumulative doses. Results: MRONJ developed in 101 patients (31.2%). Multivariate analysis identified cumulative denosumab administration (odds ratio [OR]: 1.05, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.03–1.06; p < 0.001) and a history of tooth extraction (OR: 4.40, 95% CI: 2.23–8.71; p < 0.001) as independent risk factors for MRONJ. ROC analysis determined an optimal cutoff of 32 cumulative doses, with an area under the curve of 0.83 (95% CI: 0.78–0.88; p < 0.0001). Conclusions: Cumulative denosumab administration and history of tooth extraction were independent risk factors for MRONJ in patients with breast cancer and bone metastases. The risk of MRONJ increased after 32 cumulative doses, providing a clinically actionable threshold for risk assessment and patient monitoring.