Analysis of the Causes of Traffic Accidents and Identification of Accident-Prone Points in Long Downhill Tunnel of Mountain Expressways Based on Data Mining

Abstract

China has a large vehicle base, uneven road conditions, and the highest rate of traffic accidents in the world. Particularly on the long downhill sections of expressway tunnels in mountainous areas with harsh geographical conditions, traffic accidents are densely distributed, and once a traffic accident occurs, the consequences are serious, which poses a large threat to people’s lives and property. This paper mined and analyzed the traffic accident data collected by the project on the Baoding section of Zhangshi Expressway. SPSS software was used to analyze the traffic accident data characteristics of the long downhill tunnel of the mountain expressways. The time, space, accident form, vehicle type, and road alignment distribution characteristics of the traffic accident in the long downhill tunnel section of mountain expressways were obtained. The decision tree algorithm was used to construct the cause analysis model of traffic accidents in the long downhill tunnel of mountain expressways, and the five primary influencing factors were obtained: horizontal curve radius, week, slope length, time, and cart ratio. The improved cumulative frequency curve method was used to study the accident-prone points of mountain expressways, and the accident-prone points and potential accident-prone points were obtained.