Mapping heterogeneities through avalanche statistics

Abstract

Avalanche statistics of various threshold-activated dynamical systems are known to depend on the magnitude of the drive, or stress, on the system. Such dependences exist for earthquake size distributions, in sheared granular avalanches, laboratory-scale fracture and also in the outage statistics of power grids. In this work, we model threshold-activated avalanche dynamics and investigate the time required to detect local variations in the ability of model elements to bear stress. We show that the detection time follows a scaling law where the scaling exponents depend on whether the feature that is sought is either weaker, or stronger, than its surroundings. We then look at earthquake data from Sumatra and California, demonstrate the trade-off between the spatial resolution of a map of earthquake exponents (i.e. the b-values of the Gutenberg-Richter Law) and the accuracy of those exponents, and suggest a means to maximize both.