IMPACT OF WEATHER CONDITIONS ON THE CONSTRUCTION OF THE TERMINAL - MONTE CARLO SIMULATION

Abstract

A simulation model is developed for the potential planned Patagonia and Tierra del Fuego terminals. The purpose is to identify reliability and availability of loading operations at the terminal. The harsh weather conditions, technical reliability and concurrent traffic affect LNG (Liquefied Natural Gas) Carriers during approaching or loading. Probabilistic simulation method is created and Monte Carlo simulations are carried out for several cases, with varied production, number of jetties and terminal storage. The results indicate high importance of weather restrictions and are used to present a recommendation with two loading jetties and a larger volume of storage capacity. (English) [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]