A simplified model to estimate COVID19 transport in enclosed spaces

Abstract

Airborne pathogen respiratory droplets are the primary route of COVID19 transmission, which are released from infected people. The strength and amplitude of a release mechanism strongly depend on the source mode, including respiration, speech, sneeze, and cough. This study aims to develop a simplified model for evaluation of spreading range (length) in sneeze and cough modes using the results of Eulerian-Lagrangian CFD model. The Eulerian computational framework is first validated with experimental data, and then a high-fidelity Lagrangian CFD model is employed to monitor various scale particles' trajectory, evaporation, and lingering persistency. A series of Eulerian-Lagrangian CFD simulations is conducted to generate a database of bioaerosol release spectrum for the release modes in various thermal conditions of an enclosed space. Eventually, a correlation fitted over the data to offer a simplified airborne pathogen spread model. The simplified model can be applied as a source model for design and decision-making about ventilation systems, occupancy thresholds, and disease transmission risks in enclosed spaces.