Skip to main content

A framework for modeling emerging diseases to inform management

12Citations
Citations of this article
82Readers
Mendeley users who have this article in their library.

Abstract

The rapid emergence and reemergence of zoonotic diseases requires the ability to rapidly evaluate and implement optimal management decisions. Actions to control or mitigate the effects of emerging pathogens are commonly delayed because of uncertainty in the estimates and the predicted outcomes of the control tactics. The development of models that describe the best-known information regarding the disease system at the early stages of disease emergence is an essential step for optimal decision-making. Models can predict the potential effects of the pathogen, provide guidance for assessing the likelihood of success of different proposed management actions, quantify the uncertainty surrounding the choice of the optimal decision, and highlight critical areas for immediate research. We demonstrate how to develop models that can be used as a part of a decision-making framework to determine the likelihood of success of different management actions given current knowledge.

Cite

CITATION STYLE

APA

Russell, R. E., Katz, R. A., Richgels, K. L. D., Walsh, D. P., & Grant, E. H. C. (2017). A framework for modeling emerging diseases to inform management. Emerging Infectious Diseases, 23(1), 1–6. https://doi.org/10.3201/eid2301.161452

Register to see more suggestions

Mendeley helps you to discover research relevant for your work.

Already have an account?

Save time finding and organizing research with Mendeley

Sign up for free