A synoptic climatology of potential seiche-inducing winds in a large intermontane lake: Quesnel Lake, British Columbia, Canada

Abstract

Excitation of basin-scale, internal waves (i.e., internal seiches) in lakes require spatially homogeneous wind fields that vary on time scales comparable to the seiche period, which can be on the order of several days in large lakes. We evaluate 2 years (October 1, 2016 to September 30, 2018) of 15-min wind data from a shore-based meteorological station to identify strong wind episodes likely to excite internal seiches in a large and geometrically complex lake surrounded by convoluted topography, Quesnel Lake, British Columbia, Canada. Our findings include the identification of strong wind event seasonality, with peak mean monthly wind speeds in April and November, and minimum mean monthly wind speeds in August. Using geopotential heights (GPHs) from 1.5° × 1.5° gridded reanalysis data to reconstruct the atmospheric state for each strong wind episode, two primary synoptic patterns are identified that, in conjunction with local topographic channelling, lead to either easterlies or westerlies occurring at our sampling station, with strong easterly episodes three times more frequent than westerly episodes. This highlights the important role that developing low-pressure systems in the Northeastern Pacific Basin have in setting up the GPH gradient required for persistent strong winds at Quesnel Lake, in the hours and days before these storms make landfall. The projection of synoptic patterns of strong wind events onto a 4 × 3 self-organizing map clustered strong wind events by mean wind direction, similar to the results of a manual classification. Methods to identify the strong wind episodes and the resulting self-organizing map are both evaluated in-part by two case studies where strong winds are known to have excited a basin-scale baroclinic response in Quesnel Lake.