Thyrotoxicosis after iodine fortification. A 21-year Danish population-based study

Abstract

Objective: Monitoring the influence of cautious iodine fortification (IF) on the incidence rate of overt thyrotoxicosis in Denmark with formerly frequent multinodular toxic goitre. Design: A 21-year (1997-2017) prospective population-based study identified all new cases of overt biochemical thyrotoxicosis in two open cohorts: a Western cohort with moderate iodine deficiency (ID) and an Eastern cohort with mild ID (total n = 533 969 by 1 January 1997). A diagnostic algorithm was applied to all thyroid function tests performed within the study areas. Mandatory IF of salt was initiated in mid-2000 (13 ppm). This study is a part of DanThyr. Results: The standardized incidence rate (SIR) of thyrotoxicosis at baseline (1997-1998) was 128.5/100.000/year in the cohort with moderate ID and 80.1 in the cohort with mild ID. SIR increased markedly in both cohorts during the initial years of IF (moderate/mild ID: +39/+52% in 2000-2001/2004-2005) and subsequently decreased to baseline level (mild ID) or below (moderate ID) by 2008. The decline was due to a marked decrease in the incidence rate among elderly subjects and a moderate decrease among the middle aged. The follow-up period for the mildly iodine deficient cohort was restricted to 2008. A continuous decline in SIR was observed for the remainder of the study period in the area with moderate ID (33% below baseline in 2016-2017). Conclusion: The rise in thyrotoxicosis incidence with cautious mandatory IF returned to baseline level after 7-8 years and levelled out at 33% below baseline in the population with previously moderate ID after 16-17 years.