Can Terrorism Abroad Influence Migration Attitudes at Home?

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Abstract

This article demonstrates that public opinion on migration “at home” is systematically driven by terrorism in other countries. Although there is little substantive evidence linking refugees or migrants to most recent terror attacks in Europe, news about terrorist attacks can trigger more negative views of immigrants. However, the spatial dynamics of this process are neglected in existing research. We argue that feelings of imminent danger and a more salient perception of migration threats do not stop at national borders. The empirical results based on spatial econometrics and data on all terrorist attacks in Europe for the post-9/11 period support these claims. The effect of terrorism on migration concern is strongly present within a country but also diffuses across states in Europe. This finding improves our understanding of public opinion on migration, as well as the spillover effects of terrorism, and it highlights crucial lessons for scholars interested in the security implications of population movements.

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Böhmelt, T., Bove, V., & Nussio, E. (2020). Can Terrorism Abroad Influence Migration Attitudes at Home? American Journal of Political Science, 64(3), 437–451. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12494

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