Composition of estimators for decision making

  • Bunn D
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Abstract

The issue of forming a composition of estimators, which can be forecast from quantitative predictive models or expert opinions, is discussed and a case made for linear combinations. Two methods are presented, one aimed at an optimal, minimum variance composition; and the other, at utilizing linear weights with a directly meaningful probabilistic interpretation. Bayesian estimation methods are used in both cases. © 1979.

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Authors

  • Derek W. Bunn

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