Can Adolescents Predict Significant Life Events?

  • de Bruin W
  • Parker A
  • Fischhoff B
  • 37


    Mendeley users who have this article in their library.
  • 29


    Citations of this article.


We examine whether adolescents' probability judgments for significant life events are predictive and accurate. We find significant correlations with actual experiences, reported on successive waves of a national survey. Mean probability judgments approximated observed outcome rates, or were optimistic, except that adolescents greatly overestimated their probability of dying prematurely. © 2007 Society for Adolescent Medicine.

Author-supplied keywords

  • Adolescents
  • Probability judgments
  • Risk
  • Risk perception
  • Vulnerability

Get free article suggestions today

Mendeley saves you time finding and organizing research

Sign up here
Already have an account ?Sign in

Find this document

Get full text


Cite this document

Choose a citation style from the tabs below

Save time finding and organizing research with Mendeley

Sign up for free