Can Adolescents Predict Significant Life Events?

  • de Bruin W
  • Parker A
  • Fischhoff B
  • 37


    Mendeley users who have this article in their library.
  • 30


    Citations of this article.


We examine whether adolescents' probability judgments for significant life events are predictive and accurate. We find significant correlations with actual experiences, reported on successive waves of a national survey. Mean probability judgments approximated observed outcome rates, or were optimistic, except that adolescents greatly overestimated their probability of dying prematurely. © 2007 Society for Adolescent Medicine.

Author-supplied keywords

  • Adolescents
  • Probability judgments
  • Risk
  • Risk perception
  • Vulnerability

Get free article suggestions today

Mendeley saves you time finding and organizing research

Sign up here
Already have an account ?Sign in

Find this document


Cite this document

Choose a citation style from the tabs below

Save time finding and organizing research with Mendeley

Sign up for free