GLOBAL - SCALE RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN CLIMATE AND THE DENGUE FEVER VECTOR , AEDES AEGYPTI

  • Hopp M
  • Foley J
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Abstract

See, stats, and : https : / / www . researchgate . net / publication / 225241230 Global - scale the , AEDES Article DOI : 10 . 1023 / A : 1010717502442 CITATIONS 119 READS 941 2 , including : Marianne 4 SEE All . The . All - text and , letting . Abstract . Considerable interest exists in the potential role climate may play in human health is - sues , especially regarding the effect of climate change on vector - borne disease . The Aedes aegypti mosquito , the principal vector for dengue , considered the most important vector - borne viral disease in the world , is particularly susceptible to climate variability and climatic change . Here we present a modeling analysis focusing on global - scale associations between climate and the development , potential distribution , and population dynamics of Ae . aegypti . We evaluate the model by comparing and contrasting model data with observed mosquito densities . There is good agreement between the observed and modeled global distribution of the mosquito ; however , the model results suggest the potential for increased latitudinal distributions during warmer months . Seasonal fluctuations in mosquito abundance also compare well to observed data . Discrepancies possibly reflect the relatively low resolution of the climate data and model output and the inability of the model to account for local microclimate effects , especially in coastal areas . Future modeling efforts will involve study of interannual variability in mosquito dynamics .

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Authors

  • Marianne J Hopp

  • Jonathan A Foley

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