Inside the Planning Fallacy: The Causes and Consequences of Optimistic Time Predictions

  • Buehler R
  • Griffin D
  • Ross M
  • 66

    Readers

    Mendeley users who have this article in their library.
  • N/A

    Citations

    Citations of this article.

Abstract

The authors' research focuses on the mechanisms by which people segregate their general theories about their predictions (i.e., that they are usually unrealistic) from their specific expectations for an upcoming task. This chapter begins by documenting the ubiquity of optimistic predictions in everyday tasks. Topics discussed in this chapter include the following: a cognitive model of the planning fallacy, examining cognitive processes, the generality of the planning fallacy, motivation and the planning fallacy, and debiasing the planning fallacy. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2012 APA, all rights reserved)

Get free article suggestions today

Mendeley saves you time finding and organizing research

Sign up here
Already have an account ?Sign in

Find this document

Authors

  • Roger Buehler

  • Dale Griffin

  • Michael Ross

Cite this document

Choose a citation style from the tabs below

Save time finding and organizing research with Mendeley

Sign up for free