Palliative care is often offered only late in the course of disease after curative measures have been exhausted. To provide timelier symptom management, advance care planning, and spiritual support, we propose a simple set of prognostic criteria that identifies persons near the end of life. In this retrospective cohort study of five prognostic indicators, the CARING criteria (Cancer, Admissions ≥ 2, Residence in a nursing home, Intensive care unit admit with multiorgan failure, ≥2 Noncancer hospice Guidelines), logistic regression modeling demonstrated high sensitivity and specificity for mortality at 1 year (c statistic > 0.8). A simple set of clinically relevant criteria applied at the time of hospital admission can identify seriously ill persons who have a high likelihood of death in 1 year and, therefore, may benefit the most from incorporating palliative measures into the plan of care. © 2006 U.S. Cancer Pain Relief Committee.
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