Predicting Older Age Mortality Trends

  • Costa D
  • Lahey J
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Abstract

Improving early prenatal and postnatal conditions account for at least 16% to 17% of the decline in ten-year mortality rates of 60-79-year-olds between 1900 and 1960-1980. Historical trends in early prenatal and postnatal conditions imply that while the baby-boom cohort may be particularly long-lived compared to past cohorts, mortality rates may not fall as steeply for the cohorts born after 1955 as for earlier cohorts.

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Authors

  • Dora L. Costa

  • Joanna N. Lahey

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