A Simulation Model of the Pattern of Dispersal in Urban fox (Vulpes vulpes) Populations and its Application for Rabies Control

  • Trewhella W
  • Harris S
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Abstract

Each copy of any part of a JSTOR transmission must contain the same copyright notice that appears on the screen or printed page of such transmission. JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact support@jstor.org. SUMMARY (1) The reasons for choosing a stochastic spatial simulation model of urban fox dispersal are described. (2) The biological assumptions behind the construction of the model are discussed in relation to general fox ecology and behaviour, and specific features of urban fox populations. (3) The structure of the basic model and the parameters used in it are presented, along with the modifications needed to make the model specific to any British city. (4) Twenty-five model simulations were carried out for three cities: Bristol, Bournemouth-Poole and Leicester. The output of the simulation model in Bristol was compared with the results of a capture-mark-recapture study in that city. (5) The validity of the model and its predictions are discussed in relation to its potential use for controlling a rabies outbreak in an urban area in Britain.

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Authors

  • W. J. Trewhella

  • S. Harris

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