Teen expectations for significant life events.

  • Fischhoff B
  • Parker A
  • Bruine De Bruin W
 et al. 
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Examined expectations reported by teen respondents to the (US) 1997 National Longitudinal Study of Youth regarding 18 life events. Analysis was based on responses of 3,544 15-16 yr olds. Responses are discussed as they related to schooling, fertility, crime, and mortality. Results suggest that these teens show reasonable beliefs about most significant life events, but greatly overestimate their chances of death in the near future. More than two-thirds assigned a nonzero response probability to that possibility. If this is accurate, it is suggested that adolescents may take risks, in part because they underestimate the probability of things going wrong, but also because they underestimate what is at stake. They might take risks in part because of an exaggerated feeling that they are not going to live. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2006 APA )

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  • B Fischhoff

  • A M Parker

  • Bruine De Bruin W

  • Julie Downs

  • Claire Palmgren

  • Robyn Dawes

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