Causal decision theory and the fixity of the past

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Abstract

Causal decision theory (CDT) cares only about the effects of a contemplated act, not its causes. The article constructs a case in which CDT consequently recommends a bet that the agent is certain to lose, rather than a bet that she is certain to win. CDT is plainly giving wrong advice in this case. It therefore stands refuted.

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APA

Ahmed, A. (2014). Causal decision theory and the fixity of the past. British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, 65(4), 665–685. https://doi.org/10.1093/bjps/axt021

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