Landslide susceptibility mapping and model performance assessment

Abstract

In this paper landslide susceptibility mapping and model performance assessment was conducted using three models, logistic regression, GAM, and SVM, in a study area in Shenzhen, China. Ten factors, slope angle, aspect, elevation, plan and profile curvature of the slope, lithology, NDVI, building density, the distance to the river, and the distance to the fault were selected as influencing factors for the landslide occurrences. All three models were trained and the resulting susceptibility maps were created. The performances of the three models were then assessed by AUC values through a 10-fold cross-validation. It could be concluded that in the study area GAM had the best overall performance among the three models, while SVM was better than logistic regression. Based on the derived DPR values, the optimum thresholds between stable areas and risky areas for all three models were also determined. © (2013) Trans Tech Publications, Switzerland.