Evaluation of the ocean surface wind speed change following the super typhoon from space-borne GNSS-reflectometry

Abstract

Ocean surface wind speed is an essential parameter for typhoon monitoring and forecasting. However, traditional satellite and buoy observations are difficult to monitor due to high cost and low temporal-spatial resolution. With the support of spaceborne GNSS-R technology, the cyclone global navigation satellite system (CYGNSS) with eight satellites in low-earth orbit provides an opportunity to measure the ocean surface wind speed of typhoons. Through observations are made at the extremely efficient spatial and temporal resolution, its accuracy and reliability are unclear in an actual super typhoon case. In this study, wind speed variations over the life cycle of the 2018 Typhoon Mangkhut from CYGNSS observations were evaluated and compared with European Centre for Medium-RangeWeather Forecasts (ECMWF) Re-Analysis-5 (ERA-5). The results show that the overall root-mean-square error (RMSE) of CYGNSS versus ECMWF was 4.12 m/s, the mean error was 1.36 m/s, and the correlation coefficient was 0.96. For wind speeds lower and greater than 15 m/s, the RMSE of CYGNSS versus ECMWF were 1.02 and 4.36 m/s, the mean errors were 0.05 and 1.61 m/s, the correlation coefficients were 0.91 and 0.90, and the average relative errors were 9.8% and 11.6%, respectively. When the typhoon reached a strong typhoon or super typhoon, the RMSE of CYGNSS to ERA-5 from ECMWF was 5.07 m/s; the mean error was 3.57 m/s; the correlation coefficient was 0.52 and the average relative error was 11.0%. The CYGNSS estimation had higher precision for wind speeds below 15 m/s, but degraded when the wind speed was above 15 m/s.