Using Learned Health Indicators and Deep Sequence Models to Predict Industrial Machine Health †

Abstract

In this paper, we describe a machine learning approach for predicting machine health indicators with a large time horizon into the future. The approach uses state-of-the-art neural network architectures for sequence modelling and can incorporate numerical-sensor and categorical data using entity embeddings. Moreover, we describe an unsupervised labelling approach where classes are generated using continuous sensor values in the training data and a clustering algorithm. To validate our approach, we performed an ablation study to verify the effectiveness of each of our model’s components. In this context, we show that entity embeddings can be used to generate effective features from categorical inputs, that state-of-the-art models, while originally developed for a different set of problems, can nonetheless be transferred to perform industrial asset health classification and provide a performance boost over simpler networks that have been traditionally used, such as relatively shallow recurrent or convolutional networks. Taken together, we present a machine health monitoring system that can accurately generate asset health predictions. This system can incorporate both numerical and categorical information, the current state-of-the-art for sequence modelling, and generate labels in an unsupervised fashion when explicit labels are unavailable.