A Hybrid Forecasting Method for Wind Speed

Abstract

Wind energy is one of the most widely used renewable energy sources. Wind power generation is uncertain because of the intermittent of wind power. To reduce the influence of wind power generation on the power system, it is necessary to forecast wind speed. This paper presents a hybrid wind speed prediction method based on Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model. In three wind speed prediction tests, the hybrid, ARIMA and ANN models are applied respectively. By analyzing the predicted results, it can be concluded that the hybrid method has better forecasting result. By analyzing the results, we can conclude that the hybrid method has better prediction effect.