Comprehensive review on the surrogate endpoints of efficacy proposed or hypothesized in the scientific community today

Abstract

An intermediate endpoint is a surrogate marker of treatment efficacy assessed earlier than the true outcome of interest. A suitable intermediate endpoint in neoadjuvant trials of specific breast cancer subtypes is pathological complete response (pCR) rate, defined as no invasive (+/- noninvasive) residual cancer in breast and nodes at surgery. On the basis of available evidence, Food and Drug Administration the US allowed to use of pCR as a surrogate endpoint for accelerated approval process. However, surrogacy to long-term outcome remains an unresolved issue. Literature data provide indications that triple-negative, HER2-positive, and high-grade hormone receptor-positive breast cancer subtypes achieved the highest pCR rate; the prognostic impact of pCR on survival is established only for these aggressive subtypes. In the German experience, early response after two to four cycles of neoadjuvant treatment strongly correlated with both pCR rate and long-term outcome. Therefore, early response may be considered a predictive marker for pCR and used for driving clinical trial design.